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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Total Prediction

Time: 7:10 PM EST Friday June 20, 2014 WWOR

Location: Yankee Stadium, New York, New York

The New York Yankees host the Baltimore Orioles in an AL East match up.

In their last games: The Orioles beat the Tampa Bay Rays 2-0 and the Yankees beat the Toronto Blue Jays 6-4.

In the over the Rays Baltimore starter Kevin Gausman and 2 relievers shut down Tampa Bay not giving up any runs and only giving up 5 hits.

Up to the 7th inning the Yankees scored in every inning but the 4th and New York’s pitching held off a late charge in the win.

The Orioles have taken 2 of 3 from the Yankees this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the Over record is 4-1-1.

The Orioles are 1-6 in Ubaldo Jimenez’s last 7 starts.

The Yankees are 1-4 in Hiroki Kurodas’s last 5 home starts.

Both teams are playing well, as the Yankees have won 3 in a row and are 7-3 in their last 10 games and the Orioles are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have won 2 straight.

Pitching Match Up
Baltimore Orioles: Ubaldo Jimenez (2-8, 4.86 ERA
New York Yankees: Hiroki Kuroda (4-5, 4.32 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Orioles +120 / Yankees -130
Run Line: NY Yankees -1.5 +160
Total Line: 8.5 Under -115

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Baltimore Orioles: 37-34 SU / O/U 33-37 / Run Line W/L 38-33
New York Yankees: 38-33 SU / O/U 32-39 / Run Line W/L 36-35

Key Betting Trends
• BAL is 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
• BAL is 5-2 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• BAL has an Under record of 8-2 in their last 10 games.
• NY is 7-2 in their last 9 overall.
• NY is 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
• NY has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 games as a home favorite.

Key Player Injuries

ORIOLES
Johan Santana SP D.L. Jun 2 shoulder 2015?
Matt Wieters C D.L. May 11 elbow 2015
Nolan Reimold DH D.L. Mar 30 neck Out indefinitely
Michael Almanzar 3B D.L. Mar 30 knee Out indefinitely
Edgmer Escalona RP D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely
Francisco Peguero OF D.L. Mar 30 hamstring Out indefinitely

YANKEES
Kelly Johnson 3B Out Jun 19 finger Day-to-day
CC Sabathia SP D.L. May 11 knee Late July?
Michael Pineda SP D.L.May 6 shoulder Out indefinitely
Ivan Nova SP D.L. Apr 20 elbow 2015
Alex Rodriguez 3B Suspended Jan 13 Day-to-day

Total Prediction:

Scoring runs hasn’t been a problem for the Yankees getting to the Jays for 16 runs in the 3 game series sweep. The pitching matchup may appear to have the back numbers to support an under play, but Orioles starter Ubaldo Jiminez has struggled versus the Yankees in his last 2 giving up 11 runs over 9 innings. New York starter Hiroki Kuroda has had some success against the Orioles especially at home, but he has struggled at times in Yankee Stadium this season with an ERA approaching 5 runs per game. Laying the money on the Yankees is probably a solid bet, but the price is too high to make it a play for me so we’ll go with the value in the total line. Take Over 8.5 +100.

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