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Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Over Under Pick

Time: 8:10 PM EST Thursday May 15, 2014

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

The Kansas City Royals host the Baltimore Orioles in an American League match up.

In their last games: The Orioles lost to the Detroit Tigers 7-5 and the Royals beat the Colorado Rockies 3-2.

In their loss to the Tigers the Orioles did score 5 runs in the 5th inning, but did not score the rest of the game. In the loss the Orioles were swept by the Tigers.

In their win over the Rockies the Royals scoffed 3 runs in the 2nd inning and their pitching was solid only giving up 6 hits in the game.

The Royals have taken 2 of 3 games from the Orioles this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Kansas City the total has gone Under 4 times.

The Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Orioles.

The Orioles are 5-1 in Wei-Yin Chen’s last 6 starts.

Earlier this season against the Orioles Yordano Ventura got the start and had 8 strikeouts in 8 innings in a 5-0 Royals win.

Pitching Match Up
Baltimore Orioles: Wei-Yin Chen (4-2, 3.95 ERA)
Kansas City Royals: Yordano Ventura (2-2, 2.34 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Orioles +117 / Royals -127
Run Line: Kansas City -1.5 +173
Total Line: 7 -115

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Baltimore Orioles 20-18 SU / O/U 16-21 / Run Line W/L 17-21
Kansas City Royals: 20-19 SU / O/U 18-19 / Run Line W/L 23-16

Key Betting Trends
• BAL is 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
• BAL is 0-4 in their last 4 games overall.
• BAL has an Under record of 9-3 in their last 12 games.
• KC is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• KC is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
• KC has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.

Key Player Injuries

Matt Wieters C D.L. May 11 elbow Late May?
Edgmer Escalona RP D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely
Nolan Reimold DH D.L. Mar 30 neck May 29
Francisco Peguero OF D.L. Mar 30 wrist Mid-May
Michael Almanzar 3B D.L. Mar 30 knee Early May?

Omar Infante 2B D.L. May 13 back May 22?
Bruce Chen SP D.L. May 2 back Out indefinitely
Francisley Bueno RP D.L. Apr 7 Late April?
Luke Hochevar RP D.L. Mar 29 elbow 2015

Over/Under Pick:

Wei-Yin Chin’s road numbers aren’t something to write to home about although his last outing was better allowing 2 earned runs and striking out 6 in 5 innings. Historically he has pitched well against the Royals with consecutive quality starts including a 7 inning 2 earned run outing earlier this season in Baltimore. I expect more of the same tonight against a Kansas City team that is putting up a meager 2.92 runs per game versus left handed hitting. Ventura is off to a good start this season with 5 QS in 7 starts overall, but he hasn’t been able to last at home with only 1 QS in 3 starts. That being said Ventura was ultra-sharp in his outing versus the Orioles in Baltimore in April shutting out the home team over a season high 8 innings. There is always the risk that the Orioles will have figured him out the second time around, but that’s a risk I’m willing to take based on the other data.
Take Under 7 -115.

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