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Auburn Tigers vs. Kansas State Wildcats Point Spread Pick

Opening Line: Auburn -9
Over/Under: OFF

Time: 7:30 PM EST Thursday September 18, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPN

No. 5 Auburn Tigers (2-0) vs. No. 20 Kansas State Wildcats (2-0)

This Thursday night match up is a marquee one and one of only 2 games this weekend between 2 ranked teams. While Auburn has easily won both of their games Kansas State was almost upset last week in their game facing Iowa State.

The one key for Kansas State in this game is playing solid run defense. They will be facing an Auburn ground attack that ranks 7th in the nation and has rushed for over 3-00 yards in each of their 2 games.

Both teams had last week off, so each will be rested for this big non-conference showdown.

Kansas State has lost 6 straight games facing non-conference opponents ranked in the top 25.

Auburn has beaten Kansas State in all 3 games facing them.

In their last games Auburn beat San Jose State 59-13 and Kansas State beat Iowa State 32-28.

Kansas State is 0-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-0 and Auburn is 2-0 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-0.

On the season Kansas State is 1-0 at home and this will be Auburn’s first away game of the season.

The Tigers have a great rushing attack led by the RB duo of Cameron Artis-Payne (293 yards), Corey Grant (176) and duel threat QB Nick Marshall (142). Marshall did not have a big passing game against San Jose State going 10/19 for 101 yards, but he did not have to since the ground game could not be stopped. However, the Tigers want to get a more balanced offense and WR Sammie Coates, who caught 42 passes for 902 yards and 7 TD, is back for this game after missing the San Jose State game with a knee injury.

In the win over Iowa State KSU shut out the Cyclones in the 2nd half and for the game they gave up 214 passing yards and 105 rushing yards.

KSU Jake Waters led the Wildcats to a game winning drive with only 1:30 left. For the game he passed for 239 yards and rushed for 138 yards with 2 TD. The Tigers’ secondary needs to key on Wildcats WR Tyler Lockett, who had 6 catches for 136 yards in the win over Iowa State.

Charles Jones joins Waters in the backfield and the RB has 130 rushing yards on the season and is averaging over 6 yards per carry. In the win over San Jose State Auburn did give up 254 passing yards, but the stuffed the run holding the Spartans to 65 rushing yards.

Betting Trends

Auburn is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win, and they have an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.

Kansas State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 18-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and they have an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Point Spread Pick

My first thoughts on this game after reviewing the Kansas State at Iowa State game was that the Wildcats are totally overmatched against Auburn. After seeing what the Cyclones did against the Hawkeyes I’ve changed my opinion. The 3 headed monster in the backfield of the Tigers will have to be stopped but keep in mind that K-State held their Big 12 foe Iowa State to just 2.8 yards a carry. Admittedly it’s a big step up facing the Tigers, but you could make the same argument for Auburn who will be playing their first road game on the schedule and against the strongest competition so far this season. I believe that the Tigers will be caught off guard by the strong running game of Kansas State and that will allow the home team to keep this close throughout.

Take the Kansas State Wildcats +9 Bet This Pick At GTBets

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