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Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards Prediction Betting Pick

Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards Prediction Betting Pick. The 52-37 Washington Wizards host the 65-26 Atlanta Hawks I Game 4 of an Eastern Conference semifinals series on 5/11/2015 at Verizon Center, Washington, DC; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.

Wagering Odds

Point Spread: Hawks -4.5
Over/Under Total Line: 199

The Hawks were in Washington in Game 3 of this series and they lost to the Wizards 103-101 and did not cover as a 4-point favorite. They did cover the spread in their previous game, but in 2 of the 3 games in this series they have not done so. The total for Game 3 went Over while the previous game the total went Under. In their last 10 games they Hawks are 3-7 ATS and they have an O/U record of 4-6.

This season the Hawks are 26-18 at home and 25-18-2 ATS on the road. They did not cover on the road in Game 3 and while they did cover in their previous road game they did not in their 3 road games before that. Atlanta has an O/U home record of 22-24 and an O/U road record of 24-21. In 2 of their last 3 road games the posted total has gone Over including their last one.

The Wizards covered the spread in Game 3 at home and while they did not cover in Game 2 in Atlanta they had covered in their previous 7 games. The total has gone Over in 5 of their last 6 games including their last one. In their last 10 games they have an O/U record of 8-2.

On the season the Wizards are 20-22-2 ATS at home and 20-25-1 ATS on the road. Washington has covered the spread in all 3 games at home in the playoffs this season. The Wizards have an O/U record of 24-19-1 at home and an O/U record of 19-25-1 on the road. In their last 4 road games the posted total has gone Over every time.

The Wizards have won and covered the spread in Games 1 and 3 in this series and the Hawks won and covered in Game 2. In the regular season the Hawks won and covered the spread in the first 3 games while the Wizards won and the game was a pick in the last match up. In the 7 games these 2 teams have faced each other this season the total has gone Over 6 times.

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Some other angles to consider:

The home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.

The Wizards are 5-2-2 ATS in their last 7 home games against the Hawks.

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 6 times.

This season the Wizards are 32-12 at home and the Hawks are 26-19 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Atlanta Hawks: 65-26 SU / 53-36-2 ATS
Washington Wizards: 52-37 SU / 39-47-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• ATL is 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
• ATL is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• ATL has an Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 road games.
• WASH is 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• WASH is 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• WASH has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Atlanta Hawks: 95.03
Washington Wizards: 91.96

Injury Report

HAWKS
[G] 04/10/2015 – Thabo Sefolosha out for season ( Fibula )

WIZARDS
[G] 05/09/2015 – John Wall out indefinitely ( Hand )

Free NBA Pick

The Wizards took a 2-1 lead in this series with a win in Game 3 with Paul Pierce hitting the game winner at the buzzer. Washington won the game even without All Star PG John Wall, who is likely out the rest of this series. The Wizards are 2-3 this season without him in the lineup. The Hawks came back from a big deficit in Game 3 mainly from their reserves. The starts need to play better tonight than they did in Game 3 when they only totaled 51 points on 37.5% shooting.

The Wizards are rolling, as they have a 2-1 lead in this series and have home court advantage. They have won 6 of their 7 playoff games this season and have won all 3 at home. Still, Atlanta will play better than they did in Game 3 and while they may win the Wizards will at least cover the spread.

Take the WIZARDS +4.5

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