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Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers Point Spread Pick

Time: 7 PM EST Saturday April 19, 2014, ESPN

Location: Bankers Life Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana

The Indiana Pacers host the Atlanta Hawks in an Eastern Conference playoff opener.

In their last games: The Pacers beat the Orlando Magic 101-86 and the Hawks beat the Milwaukee Bucks 111-103.

In their win over the Magic the Pacers rested some key players and still shot a solid FG% of 46.6% and they mainly won because of their defense, which held Orlando to a FG% of 40.5%.

In their win over the Bucks the Hawks did not play good defense, but their offense bailed them out shooting 53.9% from the field.

These 2 teams split the 4 games facing each other this season with the most recent being a 107-88 Hawks win in Indiana.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

This season the Pacers’ defense ranked 2nd in the league only allowing an average of 92.3 ppg.

In the last 13 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 9 times.

The Pacers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Hawks.

The Pacers are the #1 seed in the East, but they lost 6 of their last 10 games of the regular season.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Indiana -7.5
Total Line: 186
Money Line: Hawks +270 / Pacers -330

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Atlanta Hawks: 38-44 SU 38-43-1 ATS
Indiana Pacers: 56-26 SU 38-43-1-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• ATL is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• ATL is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• ATL has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• IND is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games.
• IND is 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• IND has an Over record of 6-0-1 in their last 7 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Atlanta Hawks: 88.64
Indiana Pacers: 92.85

Key Player Injuries
HAWKS
Gustavo Ayon F/C Sidelined Feb 18 shoulder Out for season
Al Horford F/C Sidelined Dec 26 pectorals Out for season
John Jenkins G Sidelined Dec 26 back Out for the 2013-14 season

PACERS
Ian Mahinmi F/C Sidelined Apr 16 undisclosed Day-to-day
Lance Stephenson G Sidelined Apr 15 undisclosed Out Wednesday for rest
Andrew Bynum C Sidelined Mar 17 knee Ruled out for Round 1

Point Spread Pick:

The difficulty in handicapping this game is not knowing which Indiana team is going to show up. Is this going to be the “Bad Indiana” team that went 9-14 over their last 23 or the “Good Indiana” team that was 47-12 over their first 59 games? What we do know is that these teams met 4 times this season with both teams splitting their home games and that the Hawks played 3 of the 4 games against the “Good Indiana”. Atlanta lost 2 of those 3 games with one being a close 4-point home loss and the other was by 10 in the Bankers Life Fieldhouse, but keep in mind that the Hawks were minus two key starters in DeMarre Carroll and Pero Antic. Look for the Hawks to be in this game from the opening tip off until the final buzzer. Take the Atlanta Hawks + 7.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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