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Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free MLB Moneyline Pick

Time: 7:05 PM EST Monday August 18, 2014 ROOT

Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Atlanta Braves in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Pirates lost to the Washington Nationals 6-5 and the Braves beat the Oakland A’s 4-3.

The Pirates gave up a walk-off single in the 11th inning in yesterday’s 6-5 loss to the Nationals.

Atlanta’s Justin Upton and Chris Johnson each hit a HR yesterday to help the Braves beat the Athletics 4-3 yesterday.

This is the first meeting of these 2 teams this season.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Braves are 5-1 in Ervin Santana’s last 6 starts.

The Pirates are 4-1 in Vance Worley’s last 5 starts.

The Pirates are 5-2 in their last 7 home games against the Braves.

Pitching Match Up

Atlanta: Ervin Santana (12-6, 3.66 ERA)
Pittsburgh: Vance Worley (5-2, 2.51 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Braves +103 / Pirates -113
Run Line: Pittsburgh -1.5 +175
Total Line: U 7 -120 runs

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Atlanta Braves: 64-60 SU / O/U 50-65 / Run Line W/L 60-64
Pittsburgh Pirates: 64-60 SU / O/U 58-57 / Run Line W/L 67-57

Key Betting Trends

• ATL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• ATL is 0-8 in their last 8 road games.
• ATL has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games.
• PITT is 9-7 in their last 26 home games.
• PITT is 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
• PITT has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.

Key Player Injuries

BRAVES

Brandon Beachy Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
Gavin Floyd Fractured right elbow on 60-day DL(6/20)
Cory Gearrin Right elbow sprain on 60-day DL(3/26)
Kris Medlen Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
Shae Simmons Strained right shoulder on 15-day DL(7/27)
Justin Upton Strained left hamstring day-to-day(8/14)
Jonny Venters Recovery from left elbow surgery on 60-day DL(3/21)

PIRATES

Clint Barmes Left groin strain on 15-day DL(6/30)
Gerrit Cole Right lat soreness on 15-day DL(7/5)
Andrew McCutchen Fractured left rib on 15-day DL(8/4)
Jordy Mercer Right forearm tightness day-to-day(8/14)
Charlie Morton Right hip inflammation on 15-day DL(8/16)
Stolmy Pimentel Sprained right ankle on 15-day DL(8/14)

Money Line Pick:

Sure Pittsburgh starter Vance Worley has been on a roll with 8 QS in his last 10 starts, but he is coming off arguably his worst start of the season. The Pirates are playing their first game at home after a disastrous 0-5 road trip. Atlanta’s Ervin Santana like Worley has been pitching well with 8 QS in his last 10 and will be making his first career start against Pittsburgh which historically is an advantage for the pitcher. The Braves have won three straight and did it over arguably the best team in baseball the Oakland Athletics. They will have to break an ugly an 8-game road losing streak, but keep in mind 4 of those games were decided by 1 run. Hitting was an issue in those games which may suggest an under play here, but I’m going to go with the hot team here and lay my money on a small road dog tonight.

Take the Atlanta Braves + 103‏

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