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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick

Time: 7:15 PM EST Saturday June 28, 2014

Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

The Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves in a National League East match up.

In their last games: In Game 1 of this 4-game series yesterday the Braves beat the Phillies 4-2.

In yesterday’s win the Braves scored 3 runs in the first inning and then the pitching held on for the rest of the game.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Braves snapped a 4-game losing streak to the Phillies with their win yesterday.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Philadelphia the total has gone Under 4 times.

The Braves pitching has been solid this season ranking 6th in the Majors in team ERA, but their only rank 29th in runs scored.

The Braves are tied with the Washington Nationals for first place in the NL East and the Phillies are 5 games back.

Pitching Match Up
Atlanta Braves David Hale (2-2, 3.14 ERA)
Philadelphia Phillies: Sean O’Sullivan (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Braves -120 / Phillies +110
Run Line: Atlanta -1.5 +135
Total Line: 8.5

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Atlanta Braves: 41-38 SU / O/U 29-46 / Run Line W/L 35-44
Philadelphia Phillies: 36-43 SU / O/U 39-34 / Run Line W/L 37-42

Key Betting Trends
• ATL is 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• ATL is 5-5 in their last 10 games.
• ATL has an Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 games.
• PHIL is 8-3 in their last 11 games as an underdog.
• PHIL is 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
• PHIL has an Under record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 games.

Key Player Injuries

BRAVES
Evan Gattis C Out Jun 27 back Day-to-day
Pedro Beato RP D.L. Jun 19 elbow Out indefinitely
David Carpenter RP D.L. Jun 17 biceps Early July
Jonny Venters RP D.L. Mar 23 elbow Late July?

PHILLIES
Carlos Ruiz C D.L. Jun 27 head
Wil Nieves C D.L. Jun 24 quadriceps Early July?
Reid Brignac 3B D.L. Jun 20 ankle Out indefinitely
Mike Adams RP D.L. Jun 7 shoulder Out indefinitely
Jeff Manship RP D.L. Jun 1 quadriceps Out indefinitely
Cliff Lee SP D.L. May 21 elbow Mid-July?
Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez SP D.L. Mar 27 shoulder Out indefinitely

Betting Pick:

Braves starter David Hale pitched well in four early season starts before being moved to the BP when he allowed 6 runs over 23 1/3 innings. His last start of the group on April 26th vs. Cincinnati was very impressive allowing just 2 hits and 1 run over 8 innings. He hasn’t started since then though and hasn’t pitched much out of the bullpen since get tagged for 7 runs in 3 1/3 over two outings back on the 16th and 18th of July going 2 innings on the 18th and 1/3 on the 22nd. The Phillies bring up Sean O’Sullivan from Triple A where he has a tough go of it going 3-6 with a 4.31 ERA in 15 starts. An Over play is tempting for this game, but Under favoring Umpire Paul Schrieber is behind the plate so my money is going to go on the Braves. Take Atlanta Braves -120.

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