Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Run Line Pick
- Updated: May 1, 2014
Time: 7:10 PM EST Thursday May 1, 2014 FXFL
Location: Marlins Park, Miami, Florida
The Miami Marlins host the Atlanta Braves in a NL East match up.
In their last games: In Game 2 of this 3-game series yesterday the Marlins beat the Braves 9-3.
In yesterday’s game the Marlins scored 9 runs for the 2nd straight game banging out 15 hits and they had a 7-0 lead after only 4 innings.
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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:
In the last 10 games between these 2 teams in Atlanta the Over record is 6-2-2.
The Braves are 22-8 in their last 30 games against the Marlins in Miami.
The Marlins are 1-4 in Henderson Alvarez’s last 5 starts.
The Braves are 4-0 in Ervin Santana’s last 4 starts.
Pitching Match Up
Atlanta Braves: Ervin Santana (3-0, 1.95 ERA)
Miami Marlins: Henderson Alvarez (1-2, 2.73 ERA)
Money Line: Braves -130 / Marlins +115
Run Line: Atlanta -1.5 +130
Total Line: 7 Over (-115)
Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Atlanta Braves: 19-9 SU / O/U 10-15 / Run Line W/L 15-11
Miami Marlins: 13-14 SU / O/U 15-10 / Run Line W/L 15-12
Key Betting Trends
• ATL is 12-5 in their last 17 overall.
• ATL is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.
• ATL has an Under record of 94 in their last 13 games.
• MIA is 16-5 in their last 21 home games.
• MIA is 10-1 in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
• MIA has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games.
Key Player Injuries
Brandon Beachy SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow 2015
Kris Medlen SP D.L. Mar 28 arm 2015
Cory Gearrin RP D.L. Mar 25 elbow 2015
Gavin Floyd SP D.L. Mar 23 elbow May 5
Mike Minor SP D.L. Mar 23 shoulder May 2
Jonny Venters RP D.L. Mar 23 elbow Late May?
Jacob Turner SP D.L. Apr 9 shoulder May 3
Rafael Furcal SS D.L. Mar 30 hamstring Out indefinitely
Run Line Pick:
Ervin Santana gets the call for the Braves tonight against the Marlins. Santana has been solid for the most part this year, starting the season off with 3 quality starts only yielding 2 runs on 13 hits over 21 innings. He did have an average outing in his last start pitching 6 2/3 giving up 4 runs on 9 hits in the Braves 5-4 win over the Reds. The Marlins counter with Henderson Alvarez who has been sharp in his last 3 starts but has had his problems with Atlanta in the past. Last season in 4 starts against the Braves he gave up 16 earned runs on 21 hits in 21 innings combined. Alvarez may have a solid outing based on current form, however he is unlikely to get past the 6th based on his career numbers so the run line has some added value. Take Atlanta -1.5 Runs (+130).