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Alamo Bowl Betting Odds – Total Line Prediction

6:45 PM EST Monday December 30, 2013, ESPN

The Oregon Ducks face the Texas Longhorns in this year’s Valero Alamo Bowl at the Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas.

In their last games of the season Oregon had to come from 5 points down in the final minute and 38 seconds to beat Oregon State 36-35 at home as a 24 point favorite. Texas got smoked 30-10 by the Baylor Bears on the road as 17.5 point underdogs.

Texas lost 2 of their last 3 games on the season but both of those losses were to teams ranked 6th and 13th in the nation.

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The Texas defense ranks 56th in the nation and will face an Oregon offense that ranks 3rd in the nation in scoring and 9th in rushing yards per game. Texas only ranks 80th in the nation in run defense.

Oregon’s defense ranks a respectable 25th in the nation, but in their last 4 games, 2 of which were losses, they gave up an average of 31 ppg.

The Longhorns feature Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year Jackson Jeffcoat, who has 12 sacks and 21 tackles for loss.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oregon -13.5
Over/Under Total Line: 67
Moneyline: Texas +415/Oregon -525

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Oregon Ducks: 10-2 SU 7-5 ATS
Texas Longhorns: 8-4 SU 6-6 ATS

Key Betting Trends

  • OREG is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
  • OREG is 0-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • OREG has an Over record of 7-2 in their last 9 non-conference games.
  • TEX is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
  • TEX is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Pac-12.
  • TEX has an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings

Oregon Ducks: 91.67
Texas Longhorns: 78.51

Key Player Injuries


[RB] 12/12/2013 – Joe Bergeron Ques Monday (Foot)
[LB] 12/12/2013 – Kendall Thompson Ques Monday (Head)
[S] 12/12/2013 – Kevin Vaccaro Ques Monday (Ankle)
[TE] 12/12/2013 – Miles Onyegbule Ques Monday (Leg)
[LB] 12/12/2013 – Deoundrei Davis Ques Monday (Knee)
[LB] 12/12/2013 – Demarco Cobbs Ques Monday (Knee)
[T] 12/9/2013 – Josh Cochran Ques Monday (Shoulder)
[CB] 12/9/2013 – Sheroid Evans Ques Monday (Undisclosed)
[LB] 12/9/2013 – Tevin Jackson Ques Monday (Knee)
[FB] 12/9/2013 – Chet Moss Ques Monday (Suspension)
[RB] 12/23/2013 – Daje Johnson Out Monday (Academics)
[T] 12/23/2013 – Kennedy Estelle Out Monday (Academics)
[RB] 12/23/2013 – Jalen Overstreetyeah Out Monday (Academics)
[LB] 12/12/2013 – Steve Edmond Out for season (Stomach)
[LB] 12/12/2013 – Jordan Hicks Out for season (Achilles)
[WR] 11/26/2013 – Bryant Jackson Out indefinitely (Ankle)
[QB] 11/26/2013 – David Ash Out for season (Concussion)
[DL] 11/10/2013 – Chris Whaley Out for season (Knee)
[RB] 11/10/2013 – Johnathan Gray Out for season (Achilles)


[RB] 12/16/2013 – Byron Marshall Prob Monday (Foot)
[RB] 12/12/2013 – Ricky Havili-Heimuli Ques Monday (Leg)
[CB] 12/17/2013 – Troy Hill out Monday (Suspension)
[TE] 12/12/2013 – Pharaoh Brown Out Monday (Suspension)

Over/Under Pick

The Longhorns have a decent defense holding some high powered clubs to lower than their season scoring averages. The blue print to shut down the Ducks is there on film to copy after Arizona State and Stanford held Oregon to 20 or fewer points.
Take the UNDER 67 at and get reduced juice on every play.

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