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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Missouri Tigers Point Spread Pick

SEC Championship Game

Time: 4 PM EST Saturday December 6, 2014, CBS

The SEC title game matches the Alabama Crimson Tide versus the Missouri Tigers.

Mizzou has won 6 consecutive games covering 4 straight against the spread. On the season Missouri is 8-4 ATS.

Alabama has just one loss on the season which came against Mississippi Rebels back on October 4th. The Crimson Tide has won 7 straight since then but against the betting line they were a poor 2-4-1. Alabama backers haven’t had a profitable season with the Tide just 3-8-1 ATS on the season.

These two teams have played only once and that came back in 2012 when ‘Bama crushed Mizz 42-10 as a 21 point favorite.

In their last games Alabama beat Auburn 55-44 and Missouri beat Arkansas 21-14.

This SEC title game is being held at a neutral location in Atlanta. Georgia.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Alabama -14.5
Over/Under Total Line: 48.5
Moneyline: OFF

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Alabama: 11-1 SU 4-8 ATS
Missouri: 10-2 SU 8-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• BAMA is 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
• BAMA is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
• BAMA has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• MIZZOU is 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• MIZZOU is 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
• MIZZOU has an Under record of 7-2-1 in their last 10 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Alabama: 99.04
Missouri: 86.69

Key Player Injuries

ALABAMA
[LB] 10/06/2014 – Denzel Devall out indefinitely ( Foot )
[RB] 10/04/2014 – Kenyan Drake out for season ( Leg )
[TE] 10/15/2014 – Kurt Freitag out indefinitely ( Legal problems )
[DB] 10/16/2014 – Ronnie Clark out for season ( Achilles )
(!)[QB] 12/01/2014 – Blake Sims injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Missouri ( Ankle )
[OL] 12/01/2014 – Cam Robinson injured last game, “?” Saturday vs. Missouri ( Shoulder )
[LB] 12/01/2014 – Ryan Anderson injured last game, “?” Saturday vs. Missouri ( Shoulder )
[WR] 11/30/2014 – ArDarius Stewart “?” Saturday vs. Missouri ( Knee )
[TE] 11/30/2014 – Brian Vogler “?” Saturday vs. Missouri ( Knee )

MISSOURI
(!)[HB] 11/30/2014 – Russell Hansbrough injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Ankle )
[OL] 12/01/2014 – Taylor Chappell injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Alabama ( Elbow )
[WR] 11/25/2014 – Lawrence Lee left the team ( Disciplinary )
[RB] 10/27/2014 – Morgan Steward out for season ( Hip )
[WR] 08/02/2014 – Levi Copelin out for season ( Suspension )
[OL] 09/20/2014 – Anthony Gatti out for season ( Knee )

Next Game
Alabama – None (Bowl game to be determined)
Missouri – None (Bowl game to be determined)

Free College Football Pick

In the two games that Missouri lost this season their opponent ran for over 200 yards and outscored them a combined 65-27. So, to say that their run defense will be one of the keys to this game is obvious. The good news is that Mississippi, Arkansas, Mississippi State and LSU have all slowed down Alabama’s ground attack and there is no reason to think that Mizzou’s 26th ranked run defense won’t be able to duplicate that feat. Yes their schedule was underwhelming and yes their habit of slow starts is a concern, but getting more than two TD’s in a game where many stats point to a competitive game is too difficult to pass up.

Take the Missouri Tigers +14.5

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