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Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers Free ATS Pick

Time:8 PM EST Saturday November 8, 2014, CBS

A huge SEC game for both teams with Alabama still in the running for a National Championship spot and with LSU trying to build on this year’s growth by this young team.

On the season the Crimson Tide are 7-1 straight up but a bankroll crushing 2-6 against the spread.

LSU has been a bettor’s best friend covering the betting line in 7 of their 9 games going 7-2 versus the money line.

Scoring is close to even for these two clubs with Alabama putting up 36.5 points on the board per game and LSU 32.8.

Defensively the Tide holds a small edge over the Tigers allowing 14 points per game versus LSU’s 15.9

In their last games Alabama beat Tennessee 34-20 and LSU beat Ole Miss 10-7.

This season LSU is 6-1 at home and Alabama is 2-1 on the road.

In this series Alabama has won the last 3 games straight up covering the spread in 2 of the 3 games.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Alabama -6.5
Over/Under Total Line: OFF
Moneyline: OFF

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Alabama: 7-1 SU 2-6 ATS
LSU: 7-2 SU 7-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• BAMA is 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
• BAMA is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• BAMA has an Over record of 9-4-1 in their last 14 road games.
• LSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
• LSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• LSU has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Alabama: 98.06
LSU: 92.64

Key Player Injuries

[RB] 11/03/2014 – Tyren Jones is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. LSU ( Suspension Served )
[OL] 10/27/2014 – Cam Robinson out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 10/04/2014 – Kenyan Drake out for season ( Leg )
[LB] 10/06/2014 – Denzel Devall out indefinitely ( Foot )
[TE] 10/15/2014 – Kurt Freitag out indefinitely ( Legal problems )
[DB] 10/16/2014 – Ronnie Clark out for season ( Achilles )

[DB] 09/30/2014 – Dwayne Thomas out for season ( Knee )
[S] 09/27/2014 – Corey Thompson out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DL] 09/10/2014 – Travonte Valentine out indefinitely ( Eligibility )
[Backup QB] 09/05/2014 – Jared Foster out for season ( Foot )

Next Game
Alabama vs. Mississippi State
LSU @ Arkansas

Free College Football Prediction

I expected a flat performance by the Crimson Tide against the Volunteers after demolishing the Aggies 59-0 the previous week. They’ve had an extra week to get their overconfident defense back in order after getting ripped for 181 yards on the ground by Tennessee. The ‘Bama run defense had been great all season holding 6 of their first 7 opponents to 89 or fewer yards on the ground with a season high of 107 to Florida. If LSU can’t run this game will get away from them quickly and unlike their game against Mississippi State when the Rebels took the pedal off the metal and letting the Tigers get the back door cover, Alabama is very unlikely to do that.

Take the Alabama Crimson Tide -6.5‏

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